ACUS11 KWNS 012152
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012151=20
SDZ000-NEZ000-012315-

Mesoscale Discussion 1506
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0451 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024

Areas affected...Northern High Plains

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 494...

Valid 012151Z - 012315Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 494
continues.

SUMMARY...Convection should continue increasing across the northern
High Plains this evening.

DISCUSSION...Mid-level short-wave trough is currently progressing
across eastern MT/WY, per latest water-vapor imagery. Notable
synoptic front has now surged across western ND, arcing through
western SD into central WY. Scattered robust convection has evolved
along this boundary and the strongest storms are now growing upscale
as larger clusters begin to emerge. Over the next few hours there is
increasing confidence that a corridor of significant convection will materialize from Bennett County SD to east of Mobridge, coincident
with a pre-frontal axis of higher buoyancy.

..Darrow.. 07/01/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7ZKJp9kKDp8xHscuuxv-u287qMPkqesxdSvT4gHhkjvxGfIXgAe95nuC8nNtvpCN9ZfhRkAHx= OUE-yxdkr2GKOiERb0$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ABR...LBF...UNR...

LAT...LON 45249941 42910149 43370263 45770052 45249941=20


=3D =3D =3D
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