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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1772

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to [email protected] on Wed Jul 31 22:13:10 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 312213
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 312212=20
    MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-010015-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1772
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0512 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024

    Areas affected...Parts of southwestern IA...northwestern MO...and
    northeastern into central KS

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely=20

    Valid 312212Z - 010015Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

    SUMMARY...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch will likely be issued within
    the next hour or two, as clusters of severe storms continue
    eastward. Severe wind gusts and large hail will be the main
    concerns.

    DISCUSSION...Clusters of severe storms are ongoing across
    southeastern NE into northern KS as of 22Z -- ahead of an
    eastward-moving cold front. 40-50 kt of effective shear and strong
    to extreme surface-based instability are supporting a mix of
    organized multicells and supercell clusters, which have produced
    severe wind gusts upwards of 65-85 mph and large hail in the
    1.5-1.75 inch range (one isolated report of 4 inches in Phillips
    County, KS earlier).=20

    Over the next several hours, these storms will continue tracking
    eastward within a favorable environment for continued organized
    storms, including organized upscale-growing multicells and supercell
    clusters. Severe wind gusts (65-85 mph) and very large hail to
    around 2.5 inches will be the main concerns. A watch will likely be
    issued within an hour or two.

    ..Weinman/Smith.. 07/31/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!74HB9raAmOSy_iHaLKmb3rBo68SSuxiR5JZlLYwvExZwyyKDftkWlthIB6rM1_6JEjyXbO1RL= Unur2RfKcBq2xz0LWo$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...

    LAT...LON 39049944 39179888 39469759 39809670 40369582 40929544
    41569548 41839493 41889421 41709352 41219327 40499319
    39629360 39089444 38239708 38059831 38069915 38559982
    38799987 39049944=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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