ACUS11 KWNS 150433
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150432=20
MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-150600-

Mesoscale Discussion 1905
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1132 PM CDT Wed Aug 14 2024

Areas affected...parts of eastern Kansas into west-central and
northwestern Missouri

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 622...

Valid 150432Z - 150600Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 622
continues.

SUMMARY...Local risk for damaging wind gusts continues from
northwestern Missouri into eastern Kansas. Risk should begin to
gradually diminish in the next 1 to 2 hours.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a fairly well-developed line of
storms -- with some embedded bowing -- moving eastward across
northwestern Missouri and northeastern Kansas. Less-organized
convection -- where local risk for gusty winds is ongoing -- extends southwestward to near the ICT (Wichita, KS) area.

The greatest short-term threat is expected in/around the Kansas City
metro area, where the most unstable airmass (around 2500 J/kg
mixed-layer CAPE per RAP-based objective analysis) is indicated.=20
Here, local gusts in excess of 60 to 65 MPH will be possible in the
next hour or so.

With time, the cooling/stabilizing boundary layer along with lesser
instability with eastward extent suggests that storms will begin to
gradually diminish in intensity, and thus severe potential. As
such, the current 15/06Z expiration of WW 622 seems appropriate,
though a local extension in time could be implemented for a few
counties south/east of the existing watch if trends warrant.

..Goss.. 08/15/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5ROwMWKe13Uonfkpqxr5M5hLkOuedbJuaGHAGP0_dDSg2QBuWk9du1YfHR9yxSst522G_iOpW= bD2JR3ws9VurrfXQts$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...TOP...ICT...

LAT...LON 37999576 37809684 38449677 39939454 40309418 40659348
40499272 39469270 38389418 37999576=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at [email protected] and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)