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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1918

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to [email protected] on Fri Aug 16 06:19:28 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 160619
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 160619=20
    INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-160815-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1918
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0119 AM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024

    Areas affected...Central IL...Far Northwest IN...Extreme Northeast
    MO

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 626...

    Valid 160619Z - 160815Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 626
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The threat for damaging wind gusts continues from far
    northeast Missouri across central Illinois into far northwest
    Indiana.

    DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm coverage within the convective cluster
    ongoing across central IL has expanded southwestward along the
    outflow into more of west-central IL and far northeast MO over the
    past hour. The airmass downstream of this new development is moist
    and buoyant, as evidenced by the more discrete storms currently
    developing ahead of the line over central IL. As such, the general
    expectation is for this newer development to persist, and perhaps
    even strengthen, as it continues eastward over the next few hours.
    Primary risk would be damaging gusts with any bowing line segments.=20

    Farther north, the portion of the line moving across northeast IL
    continues to move eastward at about 40 kt. Buoyancy decreases
    notably from northeast IL into northern IN, and the general
    expectation is for this portion of the line to gradually weaken.
    Even so, localized damaging gusts will remain possible, particularly
    over the next hour or so.

    ..Mosier.. 08/16/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_wsLOCPS7eHNIux2tlu5QvazFBSf7KbciessLrw0Rb0v-G9ADHU5ULVL5PxCKRvezAtKYkJ75= 7zPJin5jPYRWITofCI$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...IND...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...

    LAT...LON 40419131 41488875 41498746 40998712 40298713 39378813
    39159039 39589214 40419131=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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