ACUS11 KWNS 292237
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292237=20
WIZ000-MNZ000-300030-

Mesoscale Discussion 2034
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0537 PM CDT Thu Aug 29 2024

Areas affected...parts of eastern Minnesota and northwestern
Wisconsin

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 662...

Valid 292237Z - 300030Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 662
continues.

SUMMARY...An organized squall line may continue to pose a risk for
strong to severe wind gusts and, perhaps, a brief tornado or two,
before gradually weakening across north central Wisconsin by 8-9 PM
CDT.

DISCUSSION...Cold surface ridging has been slow to lose influence
across much of northern and eastern Wisconsin into Michigan and the
adjacent Great Lakes. Although modest destabilization is ongoing
along the warm front east-southeast of Minneapolis into the Madison
WI vicinity, it is not clear how much longer low-level southeasterly
inflow will be sufficiently unstable to maintain the more organized
segment of the squall line now in the process of advancing into
northwestern and west central Wisconsin. However, cyclonic
mesoscale lower/mid-level circulations still evident within the line
might maintain a risk for damaging surface gusts and perhaps a brief
tornado or two another couple of hours, into the 00-01Z time. Given
the 30-35+ kt northeasterly/easterly forward propagation, this risk
may spread into portions of north central Wisconsin east of the
severe weather watch area. However, it is not yet clear that a new
severe weather watch will be needed.

..Kerr.. 08/29/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7RduB4tE8Cej9touxVhdLGuKXoCr3hQZekMhCKhli24hZso8lqvWEhYlgLVwn-wHYRIKJ5TVc= ZXDf3dXNeHPwzVTB_4$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...ARX...MPX...

LAT...LON 45929231 46189231 46499110 45689024 44709048 43859137
44049255 44419279 45279233 45929231=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at [email protected] and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)