• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2164

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to [email protected] on Wed Oct 30 20:03:42 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 302003
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 302003=20
    MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-302200-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2164
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0303 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024

    Areas affected...northeast Kansas into southeast Nebraska and far
    northwest Missouri

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely=20

    Valid 302003Z - 302200Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

    SUMMARY...Airmass recovery should result in some severe storms this
    afternoon and evening.

    DISCUSSION...Widespread showers and thunderstorms across northeast
    Kansas has stunted destabilization thus far. However, some clearing
    and low-level moisture advection in the wake of the morning activity
    has started to destabilize parts of northeast Kansas. A line of
    storms is starting to organize across central Kansas which is
    expected to continue to grow upscale as it moves northeast. Expect
    sufficient destabilization ahead of this line of storms for some
    threat for severe wind gusts, large hail, and potentially a few
    tornadoes (along and south of the front). A tornado watch will
    likely need to be issued within the next hour or two across
    northeast Kansas, to fill the gap between watch 693 and 694.

    ..Bentley/Gleason.. 10/30/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9E5oF5QItZGPB54fvIIJZWxLJ3gnxdYa9iTzmWD6lboAQN2rIweTCYKrO7PDtSf-PhcR80TLk= CzPcUjxxAPJ4QLK-Z0$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...

    LAT...LON 38709796 39259727 39969597 40299515 40279402 40039335
    39259334 38549390 38279506 38109600 38219708 38479809
    38709796=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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