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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2204

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to [email protected] on Mon Nov 4 19:07:50 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 041907
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 041907=20
    TXZ000-OKZ000-042030-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2204
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0107 PM CST Mon Nov 04 2024

    Areas affected...Northern Texas

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 704...

    Valid 041907Z - 042030Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 704 continues.

    SUMMARY...A corridor of higher tornado potential may be developing
    across northern Texas, including the Dallas/Fort-Worth metro area,
    based on storm and environmental trends.

    DISCUSSION...Large-scale ascent associated with the primary upper
    low across eastern NM/western TX is beginning to overspread central
    TX as evident by an increase in cellular convection across the warm
    sector over the past 1-2 hours. More recently, a few cells have show
    signs of robust intensification within a corridor of higher MLCAPE
    where temperatures have climbed into the low 80s with low 70s
    dewpoints. The FWD VWP is sampling 0-1 km SRH values around 150
    m2/s2, which, in conjunction with MLCAPE values upwards of 2000
    J/kg, is supporting STP values between 1-2 across the region. A
    couple of robust supercells will likely emerge over the next 1-2
    hours with an increasing large hail and tornado threat (including
    the potential for a strong tornado) prior to the passage of a
    outflow-dominant squall line from the west.

    ..Moore.. 11/04/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4hAewocvKyDaHIxI4KSqvWo7tjJGGVj3CKxDKQSfwHnLByXKSrJXelr3EYg7ORFPy6ImtIqlh= uWhS2EbQhX9E3RspQ0$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...OUN...

    LAT...LON 32119794 33159736 33679698 33799653 33859613 33799571
    33659552 33359546 32899563 32479598 32199623 31949648
    31809675 31709709 31679738 31629761 31709788 31919808
    32119794=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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